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Now the dealer has realized the problem and started to reduce the number of orders, but the previous large-scale orders are still arriving. Therefore, they further cut the number of orders, but because they cannot predict the future trend, they are likely to cut too much and the inventory will become too low again. This cycle is always fluctuating around the new expected inventory. 2. Limitations of the system Limited rationalityunderstand the world subjectively. Humans use modeling methods to understand the world, but these methods have limitations.This method requires patience and practice. Secondly, we can improve our understanding of the system to better determine the boundary. We can investigate the ideas of people living in this system, study the statistical information of previous years, analyze the available data, etc. This will help us better understand and deal with the various factors and variables in the system. Three system crises, policy resistance, and traps:
Therefore, humans can only understand the world as objectively as possible, which also leads Oman Phone Numbers 3 Million List to the generation of one-sided conclusions. Scientists have summarized various theorems and formulas through abstract modeling and other methods to understand the world, but this method also has limitations.Countermeasures: Set goals and indicators appropriately to reflect the real welfare of the system. Be especially careful not to confuse effort with results, otherwise the system will only produce specific efforts instead of the results you expect. The rich get richer Trap:In addition, when we are not sure how the boundary should be drawn, we can take the following methods to solve this problem: First, we can use the heuristic method, that is, take a possible boundary, analyze its effect, and then adjust the boundary according to the result.
If the winners in the competition in the system will continue to strengthen their means of further winning, this will form a reinforcement loop. If this loop continues to operate without restrictions, the winners will eventually eat up the losers and be eliminated. Countermeasures: Diversification means allowing the loser in the competition to withdraw and start another new game. Antitrust law strictly limits the maximum share of the winner; amend the competition rules to limit the strongest oneThis problem is not limited to where we live but also needs to consider the entire upstream and downstream of the river, but also does not need to consider the impact of other basins.
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